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Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.After the shooting of the medical insurance giant executives, the executives of big companies such as Goldman Sachs and Bank of America have also been "targeted". The new york police are adjusting relevant posters, and the new york police are investigating posters posted in some areas of Manhattan about American business executives. In addition CEO Brian Thompson, CEO of UNH insurance business who was shot dead last Wednesday (December 4th), related posters also mentioned executives of American Express, Goldman Sachs Group, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase and other companies, and their heads were all painted with red "X" signs. A spokesman for the new york police said that in addition to posters, American corporate executives are also facing increasing cyber threats.Market News: Australia and Papua New Guinea sign bilateral security agreement.

Jiuwu Hi-Tech: the first successful candidate for the procurement project of China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Company, with a bid price of 125 million yuan. Jiuwu Hi-Tech announced on December 12, and on December 11, the procurement e-commerce platform of China Minmetals Group Co., Ltd. released the "Announcement of Successful Candidates for the Procurement of Adsorbent Supply, Filling and Related Services for the Construction and Installation Project of Lithium Project in China Wuye Minmetals Salt Lake Co., Ltd.", and the company was the first successful candidate for this project. The company's tender offer is 125 million yuan, accounting for 16.56% of the company's audited operating income in the previous year.South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a speech to the people on the 12th, accusing the opposition party of framing "the crime of civil strife" and engaging in impeachment. (Xinhua News Agency)Market news: Australia will punish technology giants who don't pay for news.

OPENAI said that it is working hard to solve the current fault problem.CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".The US dollar just broke through the 7.2700 yuan mark against the offshore RMB, and the latest price was 7.2698 yuan, down 0.10% in the day.